GUWAHATI, May 19 - The ruling BJP on Sunday expressed confidence of winning in all the 10 out of the 14 Lok Sabha constituencies of Assam it had contested. However, the party also said that its alliance partners, AGP and BPF, which together fielded candidates in four constituencies, are likely to draw a blank.
Addressing the media here, State BJP president Ranjeet Kumar Dass said that the party received detailed feedback from its cadres in the booth level regarding the voting pattern in the 14 Lok Sabha constituencies.
The party distributed charts among the media persons regarding the voting pattern. “After the polling, we had sought detailed reports from the over 25,500 booth committees of our party in Assam regarding the voting pattern. We have received very positive feedback,” he said.
Dass said that as per the feedback, the party is confident of winning from all the 10 seats where it had fielded its own candidates – Karimganj, Silchar, Autonomous District (Diphu), Guwahati, Mangaldai, Nagaon, Tezpur, Lakhimpur, Jorhat and Dibrugarh.
As part of the seat-sharing arrangement among the NDA partners, the BJP had fielded its own candidates in 10 of the 14 seats, while three constituencies – Dhubri, Barpeta and Kaliabor – were allotted to the AGP and the Kokrajhar seat to the BPF.
Giving details, Dass said that the BJP expects to receive around 4.95 lakh votes in Karimganj, of the total 10,58,088 votes cast by the electorate.
In Silchar, the BJP is expecting at least 4.65 lakh votes out of the total 9,45,834 votes cast, while in Diphu, the party expects to receive at least 4 lakh votes out of the total 6,15,944 votes polled.
Dass said the BJP was confident of winning the Guwahati seat and expects at least 10.15 lakh votes. A total of 17,60,511 electors had exercised their franchise in Guwahati.
In Mangaldoi, the BJP is confident of securing 7.65 lakh votes, out of a total of 15,00,908 votes cast, while in Nagaon, the party expects to secure 7.70 lakh votes from the total 14,89,543 votes polled.
The BJP expects to secure 6.70 lakh votes in Tezpur, where 11,83,033 electors had exercised their franchise. In Lakhimpur, the party is confident of getting 7.60 lakh votes, out of the total 12,79,119 votes polled, while in Jorhat, it expects to secure at least 5.85 lakh votes out of the 10,54,125 votes cast. The party is also confident of emerging winner in Dibrugarh by securing at least 6.30 lakh votes. The voter turnout in Dibrugarh was 10,13,821.
However, Dass said that as per reports from the BJP cadres in the grassroots level, the prospects of AGP and BPF are dim.
Dass said the AGP was likely to lose from both Dhubri and Kaliabor, while the regional party’s prospects are also not bright in Barpeta. “However, if the AIUDF manages to secure more than 2.5 lakh votes in Barpeta, then the AGP may somehow manage to scrape through. But such a possibility is doubtful. The chances that the AGP will lose from Barpeta are more likely,” he said.
He added that the BPF was also almost sure to lose in Kokrajhar.
As per the feedback from the BJP’s booth committees, the AGP candidate in Dhubri was likely to receive only 4.75 lakh votes out of the total 16,82,711 votes polled. Similarly in Barpeta, the regional party is expected to receive 5.45 lakh out of the total 14,52,213 votes cast, while in Kaliabor, the AGP is expected to poll 6.60 lakh votes out of the total 14,21,500 votes cast.
In Kokrajhar, the BPF candidate is expected to receive only 4.70 lakh votes. A total of 14,68,112 voters had exercised their franchise.
“Unlike 2014, when the AIUDF had contested from a number of seats, this time the party fielded candidates in only three constituencies. So, the division of votes between the Congress and the AIUDF did not take place in most places. Under such circumstances, if we manage to win more than seven seats, which was our figure in 2014, then it will be a historic victory for us this time,” Dass said. He added that transfer of votes among the NDA constituents had taken place smoothly in all 14 seats.
Asked if the BJP could have done better if it had itself contested from those seats which were left for the allies, Dass said that if the candidates of the AGP and the BPF had contested the polls with the BJP symbol, then their performance would have been better. He added that the BJP will contest the forthcoming elections to various municipal bodies and urban local bodies in the State on its own.
Asked about leaving one seat for the AGP from among the two Rajya Sabha vacancies from Assam, Dass said the central leadership of the BJP has not conveyed any such thing to the State wing.